Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 25
Defender wins (Japanese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1023 | 55% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 876 | 64% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 882 | 983 | 36% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1052 | 984 | 60% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1085 | 38% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 976 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 996 | 1101 | 35% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 904 | 1131 | 21% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1052 | 76% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 884 | 82% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1057 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1199 | 975 | 78% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1052 | 45% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1017.4 has a 57.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).