Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (18 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 36
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
985 | 1105 | 33% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
1006 | 1138 | 32% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
1048 | 983 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1169 | 1063 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
952 | 979 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1019 | 1092 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
914 | 1177 | 18% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1227 | 1048 | 74% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
1142 | 943 | 76% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
1147 | 965 | 74% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
1128 | 994 | 68% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
1069 | 1209 | 31% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1058.6 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).