Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (11 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 12
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 1009 | 52% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1013 | 920 | 63% | 2016-11-06 | Won |
996 | 1228 | 21% | 2014-05-30 | Lost |
889 | 951 | 41% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
1022 | 967 | 58% | 2012-12-26 | Won |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
1149 | 1016 | 68% | 2009-09-21 | Tied |
1101 | 919 | 74% | 2006-12-28 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-29 | Lost |
1148 | 1019 | 68% | 2005-08-19 | Lost |
1080 | 1110 | 46% | 1994-08-29 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1005.1 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).