Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (10 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 11
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1018 | 1009 | 51% | 2016-11-06 | Won |
992 | 1228 | 20% | 2014-05-30 | Lost |
887 | 952 | 41% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
1000 | 967 | 55% | 2012-12-26 | Won |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
1157 | 1016 | 69% | 2009-09-21 | Tied |
1102 | 970 | 68% | 2006-12-28 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-29 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2005-08-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.2 vs 1006.2 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).