Dawn Assault at Mednoye
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1147 | 52% | 2026-06-23 | Lost |
| 1155 | 985 | 73% | 2026-05-08 | Won |
| 1225 | 1028 | 76% | 2026-05-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1029 | 54% | 2025-12-24 | Won |
| 1145 | 1163 | 47% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1148.4 vs 1070.4 has a 61.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).