Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1070 | 37% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1211 | 27% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1030 | 57% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1145 | 1078 | 60% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1188 | 938 | 81% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 940 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 808 | 1076 | 18% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 855 | 70% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 955 | 1118 | 28% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1181 | 1160 | 53% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1021 | 1076 | 42% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 986 | 58% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1045.7 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).