Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (14 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Romanian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 955 | 917 | 55% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 877 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1046 | 46% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1218 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1031 | 39% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1184 | 50% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1046.2 has a 51.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).