The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (17 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Australian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1122 | 41% | 2025-10-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1060 | 49% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 1083 | 56% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 980 | 1048 | 40% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 990 | 54% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1104 | 35% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1031 | 45% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 879 | 73% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 1218 | 37% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1185 | 1143 | 56% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 933 | 1103 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1284 | 26% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1275 | 735 | 96% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1216 | 968 | 81% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1001 | 76% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1058.3 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).