Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (10 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1153 | 1108 | 56% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
804 | 1153 | 12% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
1168 | 1225 | 42% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
1197 | 1169 | 54% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
1087 | 986 | 64% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
1015 | 1126 | 35% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
1178 | 1144 | 55% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
1013 | 980 | 55% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1157 | 1189 | 45% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1123.9 has a 43.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).