Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 1168 | 21% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1049 | 48% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 996 | 944 | 57% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1164 | 1039 | 67% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1167 | 1067 | 64% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 954 | 1039 | 38% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1075 | 53% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1074 | 42% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1026 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).