Failure to Communicate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (20 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (French): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1152 | 39% | 2026-02-20 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1076 | 967 | 65% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 1119 | 967 | 71% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 1188 | 1021 | 72% | 2025-05-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1175 | 29% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1079 | 47% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2022-01-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 955 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1010 | 992 | 53% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1143 | 40% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1029 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1065 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 959 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.9 vs 1046.8 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).