First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Free French): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
963 | 1091 | 32% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
1159 | 934 | 79% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
1040 | 1234 | 25% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1069.4 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).