Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 970 | 1125 | 29% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1140 | 27% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1011.8 vs 1048.3 has a 44.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).