Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 975.8 vs 1073.7 has a 36.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).