Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 33
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 841 | 85% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
1063 | 1169 | 35% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
1034 | 1087 | 42% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
964 | 981 | 48% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
994 | 973 | 53% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
924 | 1008 | 38% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
1069 | 1154 | 38% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
1252 | 1033 | 78% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
857 | 1042 | 26% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
964 | 1018 | 42% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
815 | 1010 | 25% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
1043 | 1044 | 50% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
1043 | 1144 | 36% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1014.3 vs 1050.9 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).