One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (42 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (French): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2026-03-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1042 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 884 | 1162 | 17% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1066 | 40% | 2024-07-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 910 | 60% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1042 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1176 | 1040 | 69% | 2024-04-01 | Won |
| 948 | 748 | 76% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1070 | 52% | 2023-02-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 1128 | 27% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 967 | 1014 | 43% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 984 | 55% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 882 | 1136 | 19% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 999 | 45% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1213 | 26% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1039 | 969 | 60% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1161 | 49% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 964 | 62% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1159 | 36% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1299 | 30% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 1063 | 37% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1048 | 1220 | 27% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 748 | 1229 | 6% | 2020-09-23 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1134 | 36% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 1141 | 35% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1102 | 1103 | 50% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 884 | 871 | 52% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1212 | 748 | 94% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 786 | 85% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1121 | 43% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1007 | 53% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1049.4 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).