One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (29 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (French): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1085 | 986 | 64% | 2024-04-01 | Won |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2023-02-09 | Lost |
952 | 989 | 45% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
1016 | 984 | 55% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
1029 | 980 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
916 | 1168 | 19% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
1183 | 1168 | 52% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
1028 | 1197 | 27% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
1021 | 1087 | 41% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
1142 | 1156 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
1021 | 1013 | 51% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1157 | 1065 | 63% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
1087 | 983 | 65% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
1021 | 1327 | 15% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
984 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
804 | 1153 | 12% | 2020-09-23 | Lost |
1030 | 1109 | 39% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
1175 | 1093 | 62% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
886 | 780 | 65% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
1062 | 849 | 77% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1198 | 947 | 81% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1051.6 has a 48.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).