March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1311 | 1353 | 44% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
1283 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
1006 | 896 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1138 | 1051 | 62% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
1311 | 1141 | 73% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1129.6 vs 1024.8 has a 64.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).