The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
1007 | 943 | 59% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
1018 | 948 | 60% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
953 | 1087 | 32% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
1061 | 1087 | 46% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
1148 | 948 | 76% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
853 | 937 | 38% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
962 | 881 | 61% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
903 | 949 | 43% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
1140 | 955 | 74% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 980.6 has a 56.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).