Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
1170 | 1177 | 49% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
1109 | 869 | 80% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
1075 | 1227 | 29% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
1022 | 857 | 72% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1046 | 1069 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
1003 | 974 | 54% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
985 | 861 | 67% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
985 | 887 | 64% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
1092 | 1048 | 56% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
1121 | 1138 | 48% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1029.3 has a 54.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).