Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1195 | 45% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1213 | 842 | 89% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1225 | 42% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1012 | 58% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 966 | 57% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1195 | 31% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 861 | 74% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 889 | 70% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1061 | 55% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1050 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1093.2 vs 1031 has a 58.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).