Liberation Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (21 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
1048 | 1177 | 32% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2023-07-19 | Lost |
1043 | 1011 | 55% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
1002 | 943 | 58% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
1144 | 1027 | 66% | 2019-03-30 | Won |
1020 | 969 | 57% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1020 | 969 | 57% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
943 | 1091 | 30% | 2018-05-22 | Lost |
1097 | 1094 | 50% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1071 | 1075 | 49% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2015-08-24 | Won |
1307 | 1189 | 66% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
927 | 1311 | 10% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
1225 | 1191 | 55% | 2015-03-14 | Won |
1070 | 1018 | 57% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1066.3 has a 52.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).