Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (31 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-06-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 880 | 71% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1164 | 1021 | 69% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1191 | 25% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 992 | 48% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 869 | 78% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1137 | 31% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1012 | 880 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1010.7 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).