Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (22 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 65
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1068 | 1011 | 58% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
857 | 1296 | 7% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
1017 | 1069 | 43% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1037 | 1155 | 34% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
986 | 1037 | 43% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
887 | 1105 | 22% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
940 | 1055 | 34% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
1311 | 928 | 90% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
1034 | 1307 | 17% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
1307 | 1314 | 49% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
1055 | 1014 | 56% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
985 | 1051 | 41% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
1398 | 1282 | 66% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
1141 | 1003 | 69% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1076.5 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).