The Bend in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (16 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
865 | 916 | 43% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
1015 | 1041 | 46% | 2022-05-19 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
1024 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
1051 | 1178 | 32% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
1178 | 1144 | 55% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
1160 | 1208 | 43% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
970 | 942 | 54% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-04-16 | Won |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
1080 | 1176 | 37% | 2014-07-14 | Lost |
1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2014-05-24 | Tied |
1019 | 992 | 54% | 2014-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1078 has a 44.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).