Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1043 | 1096 | 42% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1283 | 950 | 87% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
977 | 1225 | 19% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1051 | 1069 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1105 | 1075 | 54% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
985 | 1050 | 41% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1066.9 has a 51.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).