Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 848 | 64% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 889 | 889 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1045 | 1002 | 56% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1193 | 53% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1080 | 69% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1109 | 47% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 1128 | 19% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1046 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1087 | 45% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1155 | 1101 | 58% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1164 | 27% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 767 | 73% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1031 | 57% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 986 | 71% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1031.1 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).