Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
900 | 900 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
1069 | 1062 | 51% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
1283 | 1154 | 68% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
1096 | 1109 | 48% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
1054 | 1138 | 38% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
1105 | 985 | 67% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
987 | 918 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
1091 | 1055 | 55% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
943 | 766 | 73% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1029.6 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).