Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
944 | 933 | 52% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
1068 | 1016 | 57% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
1284 | 979 | 85% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
996 | 979 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
1110 | 869 | 80% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
1152 | 857 | 85% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
1008 | 889 | 66% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
1284 | 1097 | 75% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
1102 | 1009 | 63% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
1025 | 1067 | 44% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
1138 | 979 | 71% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
1202 | 1307 | 35% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
1110 | 1307 | 24% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
1202 | 1102 | 64% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
933 | 1021 | 38% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086.4 vs 1009 has a 60.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).