Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 978 | 49% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 840 | 72% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1063 | 48% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1046 | 53% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 919 | 65% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 957 | 59% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1001.7 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).