It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (French): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1161 | 52% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 968 | 52% | 2025-06-07 | Won |
| 1175 | 1060 | 66% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2024-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1039 | 59% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1101 | 66% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1139 | 45% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1126 | 32% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1143 | 40% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 998 | 55% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 998 | 55% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1070 | 60% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1066 | 65% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1070 | 44% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1146 | 47% | 2011-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.7 vs 1088.1 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).