Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 1035 | 67% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
963 | 1028 | 41% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
1204 | 985 | 78% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
1068 | 919 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
1017 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1046.6 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).