Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (23 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 942 | 81% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 766 | 81% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1039 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1157 | 951 | 77% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1122 | 1176 | 42% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1064 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 1049 | 53% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1110 | 998 | 66% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1074 | 1095 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 890 | 71% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1152 | 46% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1289 | 1132 | 71% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1110 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1117 | 44% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1151 | 46% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1182 | 46% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 919 | 69% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1102 vs 1038.3 has a 59.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).