Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (10 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 960 | 74% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
966 | 1211 | 20% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
960 | 1091 | 32% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
999 | 1030 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
1149 | 1307 | 29% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
1227 | 1019 | 77% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
1019 | 972 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
1114 | 1055 | 58% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1087.5 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).