Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (11 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 953 | 68% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 961 | 1218 | 19% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 1091 | 33% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1030 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 1310 | 28% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 972 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1115 | 1017 | 64% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1077.1 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).