Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (33 on the archive and 132 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 81
Defender wins (Russian): 84
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1068 | 54% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1009 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 923 | 1158 | 21% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1060 | 43% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1079 | 1213 | 32% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1010 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1066 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1302 | 13% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1158 | 40% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 950 | 64% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1046 | 73% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1117 | 1066 | 57% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1012 | 1149 | 31% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1169 | 58% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1168 | 965 | 76% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1405 | 9% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1168 | 975 | 75% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 888 | 945 | 42% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1302 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1285 | 1302 | 48% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 1168 | 49% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1089.2 has a 49.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).