The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1102 | 985 | 66% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
891 | 992 | 36% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
1023 | 1003 | 53% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
948 | 1012 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1069 | 972 | 64% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.1 vs 1030 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).