The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (British): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1099 | 59% | 2026-04-22 | Won |
| 1184 | 990 | 75% | 2026-04-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1031 | 66% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 1077 | 60% | 2010-07-16 | Won |
| 1056 | 1150 | 37% | 2009-04-25 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-10-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1099 | 40% | 2003-12-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1076 | 59% | 2003-10-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1006 | 87% | 2001-11-09 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1115.8 vs 1066.8 has a 56.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).