Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Italian / German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
920 | 1080 | 28% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
1327 | 1026 | 85% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
1030 | 1033 | 50% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
1226 | 1307 | 39% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
991 | 1063 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1035.9 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).