Defiant Confrontation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1090 | 60% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1042 | 46% | 2012-08-16 | Won |
| 987 | 1028 | 44% | 2010-12-11 | Lost |
| 966 | 1172 | 23% | 2007-04-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2004-09-29 | Lost |
| 1006 | 989 | 52% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1004.8 vs 1035.9 has a 45.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).