Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (28 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 977 | 44% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 914 | 941 | 46% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 993 | 61% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 932 | 872 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 993 | 40% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 872 | 88% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 871 | 1008 | 31% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1108 | 1180 | 40% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 889 | 74% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 947 | 63% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 1061 | 50% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1066 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 896 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1155 | 60% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 923 | 1000 | 39% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1136 | 970 | 72% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 904 | 79% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1061 | 37% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1405 | 1091 | 86% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1405 | 1096 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1046 | 45% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 940 | 65% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1008.4 has a 57.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).