Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (27 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 952 | 45% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 1054 | 937 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 932 | 885 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 937 | 53% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 885 | 66% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 897 | 952 | 42% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1110 | 1178 | 40% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 947 | 65% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1009 | 56% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 1077 | 54% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1154 | 35% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 979 | 72% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1139 | 1005 | 68% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1077 | 35% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1074 | 87% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1400 | 1082 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1046 | 52% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 939 | 70% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1013.6 has a 56.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).