Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (26 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
915 | 981 | 41% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
1054 | 929 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
950 | 948 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
1008 | 948 | 59% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
867 | 954 | 38% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
1122 | 1179 | 42% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
1032 | 947 | 62% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
1006 | 1009 | 50% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
1128 | 1048 | 61% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
1135 | 1068 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
947 | 896 | 57% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
970 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
1090 | 956 | 68% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
1090 | 1005 | 62% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
1006 | 1047 | 44% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
965 | 1048 | 38% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
1398 | 1092 | 85% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
1398 | 1081 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1069 | 1048 | 53% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
1138 | 943 | 75% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1010.6 has a 55.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).