The Paw of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (11 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-03-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2026-03-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 1105 | 26% | 2020-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 999 | 1036 | 45% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
| 924 | 1050 | 33% | 2008-11-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.5 vs 1029.7 has a 45.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).