Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (18 on the archive and 94 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 55
Defender wins (French): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1189 | 1157 | 55% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
989 | 938 | 57% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-14 | Lost |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1048 | 1063 | 48% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
994 | 940 | 58% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
994 | 959 | 55% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
869 | 982 | 34% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
869 | 1094 | 21% | 2012-01-06 | Lost |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
1108 | 1149 | 44% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2006-02-26 | Won |
987 | 1117 | 32% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1050.8 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).