Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (French): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1189 | 1157 | 55% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
985 | 943 | 56% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-14 | Lost |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1010 | 1138 | 32% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1048 | 1069 | 47% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1019 | 940 | 61% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1019 | 959 | 59% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
869 | 982 | 34% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
869 | 1094 | 21% | 2012-01-06 | Lost |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
1055 | 1149 | 37% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
1012 | 1078 | 41% | 2006-02-26 | Won |
938 | 1115 | 27% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1059.7 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).