St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (3 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 1152 | 28% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
952 | 1115 | 28% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
1000 | 994 | 51% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 979.3 vs 1087 has a 34.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).