Wintergewitter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-09-06 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
1060 | 945 | 66% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
982 | 940 | 56% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2016-12-18 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
1246 | 1048 | 76% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
887 | 942 | 42% | 2014-08-18 | Won |
1069 | 939 | 68% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1068 | 952 | 66% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
1003 | 1019 | 48% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1098 | 1063 | 55% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
1028 | 1125 | 36% | 2010-12-28 | Won |
1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
1157 | 1125 | 55% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
1398 | 901 | 95% | 2006-06-16 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2006-02-26 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
1096 | 994 | 64% | 2004-12-14 | Won |
996 | 994 | 50% | 2004-12-14 | Won |
1002 | 1072 | 40% | 2004-02-09 | Won |
1138 | 1005 | 68% | 2003-11-11 | Won |
912 | 994 | 38% | 2001-12-29 | Won |
959 | 1075 | 34% | 1996-07-28 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1038.7 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).