Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
939 | 1133 | 25% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
1211 | 954 | 81% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
1179 | 1018 | 72% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
1179 | 1118 | 59% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
938 | 948 | 49% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
960 | 929 | 54% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
842 | 1055 | 23% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
1150 | 1307 | 29% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
994 | 1120 | 33% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
1094 | 1036 | 58% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
915 | 896 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
985 | 960 | 54% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
985 | 989 | 49% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
1015 | 1055 | 44% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
1173 | 1398 | 21% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
982 | 992 | 49% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
1054 | 1069 | 48% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
1019 | 1003 | 52% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
1132 | 1019 | 66% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1040.5 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).