A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (British): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1158 | 954 | 76% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
1179 | 1118 | 59% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1179 | 1018 | 72% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
1003 | 973 | 54% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
1094 | 833 | 82% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1090 | 38% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1020 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
1094 | 985 | 65% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
1039 | 1063 | 47% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1009.9 has a 58.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).