Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (15 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 46
Defender wins (German): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 1013 | 43% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
1055 | 975 | 61% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
1158 | 935 | 78% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
857 | 1152 | 15% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1110 | 1054 | 58% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
945 | 952 | 49% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
866 | 1087 | 22% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1008.5 has a 49.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).