Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
981 | 981 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
1143 | 1127 | 52% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1006 | 916 | 63% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
1009 | 979 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
1083 | 964 | 66% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
1013 | 1311 | 15% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
1003 | 1023 | 47% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
1184 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
872 | 917 | 44% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
1003 | 996 | 51% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
985 | 989 | 49% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
1274 | 997 | 83% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
919 | 1003 | 38% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2004-06-16 | Won |
1069 | 1053 | 52% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
980 | 1075 | 37% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1018.4 vs 1014.1 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).