Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2026-04-14 | Won |
| 1094 | 1133 | 44% | 2025-12-25 | Won |
| 1205 | 999 | 77% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 1085 | 41% | 2025-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093.5 vs 1043 has a 57.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).