Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 1025 | 45% | 2026-04-14 | Won |
| 1078 | 1133 | 42% | 2025-12-25 | Won |
| 1202 | 998 | 76% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 1107 | 35% | 2025-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1065.8 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).