Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 973 | 59% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1186 | 49% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1140 | 47% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 945 | 68% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1032 | 63% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 896 | 81% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1026.6 has a 57.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).