The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1282 | 14% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 997 | 69% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1139 | 1216 | 39% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1098 | 43% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 756 | 1080 | 13% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1204 | 33% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 985 | 45% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1010.9 vs 1123.1 has a 34.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).