Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 906 | 45% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 872 | 917 | 44% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 943 | 1160 | 22% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1174 | 966 | 77% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 872 | 75% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 1189 | 33% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1010 | 78% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 1010 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1183 | 1158 | 54% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1033 | 987 | 57% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 943 | 1030 | 38% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1012.2 vs 1011.9 has a 50.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).