Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (7 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Australian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
966 | 958 | 51% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
966 | 909 | 58% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
1138 | 1034 | 65% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
1097 | 1093 | 51% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
1209 | 1123 | 62% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1021.9 has a 56.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).