Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (7 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (Australian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
929 | 994 | 41% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
1087 | 1025 | 59% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
1133 | 1096 | 55% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
1209 | 1176 | 55% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1056.6 has a 46.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).