Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 984 | 68% | 2026-05-31 | Won |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 940 | 37% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 1238 | 1038 | 76% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1053 | 1211 | 29% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 988 | 963 | 54% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1155 | 29% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 1087 | 56% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 948 | 74% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 868 | 917 | 43% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2023-10-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1182 | 40% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2023-08-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1035 | 47% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1052.4 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).