Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (22 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1152 | 49% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
920 | 1012 | 37% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
1064 | 1044 | 53% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
1047 | 1065 | 47% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
1148 | 951 | 76% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
1045 | 948 | 64% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
920 | 1018 | 36% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
1035 | 1055 | 47% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
906 | 906 | 50% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
937 | 1044 | 35% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
1087 | 1086 | 50% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
1124 | 1043 | 61% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
909 | 1140 | 21% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
880 | 1013 | 32% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
1148 | 1039 | 65% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
1173 | 1022 | 70% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
1063 | 1002 | 59% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
1058 | 1086 | 46% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
948 | 1100 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
1222 | 1035 | 75% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
948 | 1155 | 23% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1039.3 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).