Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (22 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 40
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1072 | 50% | 2026-04-11 | Won |
| 1165 | 1213 | 43% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 786 | 1055 | 18% | 2025-11-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 756 | 1088 | 13% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 947 | 943 | 51% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 899 | 64% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 954 | 1021 | 40% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 1051 | 52% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1175 | 1087 | 62% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1095 | 1129 | 45% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1264 | 1019 | 80% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1147 | 31% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1205 | 946 | 82% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1177 | 58% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1134 | 862 | 83% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 954 | 1221 | 18% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 1056 has a 49.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).