Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (18 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
1083 | 1118 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
991 | 1021 | 46% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
950 | 1048 | 36% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
1083 | 1017 | 59% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
1017 | 1049 | 45% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
858 | 872 | 48% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1198 | 1197 | 50% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
1327 | 1279 | 57% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1016 | 1307 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1327 | 1045 | 84% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1216 | 1011 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
961 | 922 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
890 | 994 | 35% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1059.9 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).