Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1068 | 51% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1063 | 1119 | 42% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 1063 | 48% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 1029 | 41% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 1072 | 48% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 917 | 1045 | 32% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1046 | 58% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 946 | 66% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1077 | 42% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 837 | 864 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 1184 | 44% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1136 | 70% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 982 | 1310 | 13% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1044 | 80% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1222 | 1001 | 78% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 885 | 897 | 48% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 853 | 994 | 31% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1043 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1054 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).