Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 3
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
1033 | 1184 | 30% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1033.8 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).