The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 6
Defender wins (Republicans): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 1200 | 910 | 84% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1140 | 43% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1021 | 72% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1218 | 948 | 83% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1160.8 vs 1014.8 has a 69.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).